Sunday, October 18, 2026

Britain, King Abdulaziz, and the Making of the Modern Middle East

Britain, King Abdulaziz, and the Making of the Modern Middle East

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Synthetic image depicting the old Middle Eastern Region

Few subjects in modern Middle Eastern history generate as much debate as the collapse of the Ottoman Empire and the political order that emerged in its aftermath.

One interpretation that frequently appears in political discourse is that Britain played a decisive role in the rise of the Saudi state while simultaneously pursuing policies that supported the Zionist movement in Palestine. Some commentators go further, arguing that these developments formed part of a broader and coherent British strategy for the region.

Supporters of this view often cite four key historical documents: the McMahon-Hussein Correspondence, the Treaty of Darin, the Sykes-Picot Agreement, and the Balfour Declaration. These documents are authentic and remain central to scholarly discussions of the modern Middle East. The question, however, is whether they support the broader conclusions often drawn from them.

Examining these sources within their historical context provides a clearer understanding of both the evidence and its limitations.


Britain's Commitment to Sharif Hussein

During the First World War, Britain sought Arab support against the Ottoman Empire, which had entered the conflict on the side of the Central Powers. To encourage an Arab revolt, Sir Henry McMahon, Britain's High Commissioner in Egypt, exchanged a series of letters with Sharif Hussein bin Ali of Mecca between 1915 and 1916.[1]

The correspondence outlined British support for Arab independence in exchange for Arab participation in a revolt against Ottoman rule.[1] Sharif Hussein accepted these assurances and subsequently became a leading figure in the Arab Revolt of 1916.[2]

Controversy emerged after the war. Arab leaders argued that Britain's promises encompassed Palestine, while British officials later maintained that Palestine had been excluded from the areas under discussion.[1][2]

Because of ambiguities in the wording of the correspondence, historians continue to debate precisely what Britain promised and how Sharif Hussein understood those commitments at the time.[2]


Britain's Relationship with King Abdulaziz Ibn Saud

While Britain was corresponding with Sharif Hussein, it was also cultivating relations with Abdulaziz Ibn Saud, later known as King Abdulaziz, founder of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

On 26 December 1915, Britain and Ibn Saud signed the Treaty of Darin.[3] Under the agreement, Britain recognized Ibn Saud's authority in Najd and provided financial and military assistance. In return, Ibn Saud accepted a formal relationship with Britain and agreed to cooperate with British strategic interests in the region.[3][4]

Historians generally agree that British support strengthened Ibn Saud's position during a period of regional competition. However, scholarly interpretations differ regarding Britain's long-term intentions.

Some historians view the treaty primarily as a wartime arrangement aimed at securing British interests in the Gulf and undermining Ottoman influence.[4] Others argue that British officials increasingly regarded Ibn Saud as a valuable political partner whose influence could contribute to regional stability from the perspective of British strategic interests.[10]

Importantly, the treaty itself contains no explicit reference to Zionism, Palestine, or any future Jewish state.[3]


The Sykes-Picot Agreement

In 1916, Britain and France negotiated the secret Sykes-Picot Agreement, which outlined proposed zones of influence in Ottoman territories following an anticipated Allied victory.[5]

Although the final political settlement differed from the original plan, the agreement became a powerful symbol of European intervention in the Middle East. For many Arab observers, it represented evidence that major powers were determining the region's future without meaningful consultation with local populations.[5][6]

The agreement remains one of the most frequently cited examples of imperial diplomacy in discussions of the modern Middle East.[6]


The Balfour Declaration

In November 1917, British Foreign Secretary Arthur James Balfour issued a declaration expressing British support for the establishment of a "national home for the Jewish people" in Palestine.[7]

The Balfour Declaration is widely regarded as one of the most consequential documents in the history of the Arab-Israeli conflict.[7][8]

Supporters viewed it as recognition of Jewish national aspirations, while critics argued that Britain was making commitments concerning a territory whose Arab population had not been consulted.[8]

The declaration also raised fundamental questions regarding the relationship between Britain's wartime commitments to Arab leaders and its support for Zionist aspirations in Palestine. Historians continue to debate the extent to which British policymakers viewed these objectives as compatible and whether they fully anticipated the tensions that would emerge in subsequent decades.[7][10]


The Rise of the Saudi State

Following the First World War, several political forces competed for influence in the Arabian Peninsula. Among the most significant were the Hashemite rulers of the Hijaz, the Al Rashid dynasty in Hail, and Abdulaziz Ibn Saud in Najd.[9][11]

Throughout the 1920s, Ibn Saud consolidated and expanded his authority through military campaigns, tribal alliances, religious legitimacy, and political strategy.[9][11] By 1925, he controlled the Hijaz, including the holy cities of Mecca and Medina.[9]

In 1932, he formally unified his territories under the name Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.[9]

Most historians acknowledge that British diplomatic recognition, financial support, and political engagement contributed to the environment in which Ibn Saud achieved success.[4][9] However, many scholars caution against viewing the kingdom solely as a British creation. Ibn Saud's achievements also reflected local political dynamics, military effectiveness, tribal support, and his own leadership capabilities.[9][10]

This remains one of the central debates in the historiography of modern Arabia.


Does the Evidence Demonstrate That Saudi Arabia Was Created to Protect Israel?

This is where the historical record becomes less definitive.

There is substantial evidence that Britain pursued strategic interests throughout the Middle East, maintained relationships with multiple Arab leaders, and supported the establishment of a Jewish national home in Palestine.[3][5][7]

There is also considerable evidence that British policy influenced the political development of the region and shaped many of its modern institutions and boundaries.[5][6][10]

What is more difficult to establish is the specific claim that Saudi Arabia was founded for the purpose of protecting Israel.

The principal documents commonly cited in support of this argument do not explicitly make such a claim.[1][3][5][7] Rather, proponents of this interpretation derive their conclusions from the cumulative effect of British policies and the outcomes that followed.

Some commentators find this interpretation persuasive. Many professional historians remain unconvinced that the available documentary evidence demonstrates such a direct causal relationship.[9][10]

As is often the case in historical analysis, there is a distinction between documented events and interpretations of motive.


Conclusion

There is little dispute that Britain played a major role in reshaping the Middle East during and after the First World War.

British officials negotiated with Arab leaders, entered into agreements with regional rulers, coordinated plans with European allies, and supported the establishment of a Jewish national home in Palestine.[1][3][5][7]

These actions had profound and lasting consequences for the region.

At the same time, the emergence of Saudi Arabia cannot be explained exclusively through British policy. The rise of King Abdulaziz was also shaped by regional rivalries, military success, tribal politics, religious movements, and decisions made by local actors themselves.[9][11]

The primary sources provide valuable evidence regarding what occurred. They are less conclusive when it comes to establishing intentions and long-term strategic objectives.

For that reason, debates over Britain's role in the formation of modern Saudi Arabia are likely to continue. The historical record contains substantial evidence of British influence. Whether that influence amounted to the deliberate creation of a state intended to serve future Israeli interests remains a matter of interpretation rather than established historical consensus.


References

[1] Yale Law School Avalon Project. The McMahon-Hussein Correspondence (1915-1916).
https://avalon.law.yale.edu/20th_century/hussein.asp

[2] Encyclopaedia Britannica. Hussein-McMahon Correspondence.
https://www.britannica.com/topic/Husayn-McMahon-correspondence

[3] Treaty of Darin (1915). Historical overview.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_of_Darin

[4] Silverfarb, Daniel. The Anglo-Najd Treaty of December 1915. Middle Eastern Studies. JSTOR.
https://www.jstor.org/stable/4282790

[5] Yale Law School Avalon Project. The Sykes-Picot Agreement (1916).
https://avalon.law.yale.edu/20th_century/sykes.asp

[6] Encyclopaedia Britannica. Sykes-Picot Agreement.
https://www.britannica.com/event/Sykes-Picot-Agreement

[7] Yale Law School Avalon Project. The Balfour Declaration (1917).
https://avalon.law.yale.edu/20th_century/balfour.asp

[8] British Library. The Balfour Declaration.
https://www.bl.uk/collection-items/the-balfour-declaration

[9] Encyclopaedia Britannica. History of Saudi Arabia.
https://www.britannica.com/topic/history-of-Saudi-Arabia

[10] Fromkin, David. A Peace to End All Peace: The Fall of the Ottoman Empire and the Creation of the Modern Middle East.
https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/164020/a-peace-to-end-all-peace-by-david-fromkin/

[11] Al-Rasheed, Madawi. A History of Saudi Arabia. Cambridge University Press.
https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/history-of-saudi-arabia/

Further Reading

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Monday, October 12, 2026

Hulhumalé vs RasMalé: Will the Next Mega-City Solve the Housing Crisis?

Hulhumalé vs RasMalé: Will the Next Mega-City Solve the Housing Crisis?

Comparing two of the Maldives' largest urban development projects through the lenses of housing, economic growth, foreign investment, and long-term national development.

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Introduction

The Maldives faces a unique urban-development challenge. With limited land, a growing population, and a concentration of economic activity in the Greater Malé Region, creating space for housing and development often requires first creating the land itself.

Over the past three decades, land reclamation has become one of the country's most important development strategies. The most prominent example is Hulhumalé, a reclaimed island that has grown into a major urban center providing housing, public services, commercial activity, and employment opportunities. [hdc.mv], [properties.hdc.mv]

The next chapter in that strategy is RasMalé, an ambitious new eco-city planned on reclaimed land. According to project information published by Housing Development Corporation (HDC), RasMalé aims to create approximately 1,150 hectares of new land and provide around 65,000 housing solutions alongside schools, healthcare facilities, commercial areas, recreational spaces and economic opportunities. [hdc.mv]

While both projects share similar objectives, they differ significantly in scale, development approach, financing structures and stage of implementation.

This article compares Hulhumalé' and RasMalé' through four key questions:

  • How do they compare in scale?
  • How much can they contribute to solving the housing challenge?
  • What economic opportunities can they create?
  • What lessons can be learned for the future of urban development in the Maldives?

At a Glance

CategoryHulhumalé'RasMalé'
Development StatusEstablished urban cityUnder development
Land Area468 hectaresApproximately 1,150 hectares
Development ModelState-led urban expansionMixed public-private development
HousingExisting and ongoing housing deliveryApproximately 65,000 housing solutions planned
Economic RoleResidential, commercial, industrial and public servicesHousing, investment, business and urban expansion
Long-Term ImpactAlready measurableTo be determined as development progresses

Sources:


Scale Comparison

Scale coparison

Figure 1. Comparative land area of Hulhumalé and RasMalé

Hulhumalé currently spans approximately 468 hectares, while RasMalé is planned at approximately 1,150 hectares, making it one of the largest land-reclamation initiatives in Maldivian history. [hdc.mv]

Figure Sources


Hulhumalé: A Proven Urban Development Model

Land reclamation for Hulhumalé began in 1997. According to HDC documentation, Phase I reclaimed 188 hectares and was completed in 2002. Phase II added a further 244 hectares and was completed in 2015. [properties.hdc.mv]

Over time, Hulhumalé has grown into a diverse urban center incorporating:

  • Residential districts
  • Social housing developments
  • Commercial areas
  • Educational institutions
  • Healthcare facilities
  • Industrial zones
  • Parks and recreation
  • Smart-city infrastructure

Today, it functions as a major extension of the Greater Malé Region and remains one of the country's most significant urban-development projects. [hdc.mv], [properties.hdc.mv]

According to HDC's current published statistics, Hulhumalé includes: [hdc.mv]

  • 19,618 social housing units
  • 10,228 mid-range housing units
  • 2,634 luxury housing units
  • 2,608 private plots

These figures demonstrate the scale of housing provision that has already been delivered and continues to grow. [hdc.mv]


RasMalé: The Next Stage of Urban Expansion

According to HDC, RasMalé is being developed as a large-scale eco-city designed to support future population growth and economic activity. [hdc.mv]

Current project plans include:

  • Approximately 1,150 hectares of reclaimed land
  • Around 65,000 housing solutions
  • Commercial districts
  • Recreational facilities
  • Educational institutions
  • Healthcare facilities
  • Employment and business opportunities

The project's scale reflects the continued need for urban expansion in response to demographic and economic pressures in the Greater Malé Region. [hdc.mv]

Unlike Hulhumalé, whose outcomes can be measured today, many of RasMalé's future impacts will become clearer as development progresses over the coming years.


Housing: The Central Question

Housing remains the most important issue connecting both projects.

The continued demand for housing in the Greater Malé Region means that any successful urban-expansion project can play an important role in improving accessibility, affordability and quality of life.

Hulhumalé demonstrates what can be achieved through long-term planning and sustained development. RasMalé represents the next opportunity to expand housing supply at an even larger scale.


Housing Delivery Certainty

Housing Delivery Certainty

Figure 2. Existing housing delivery compared with planned housing supply

Hulhumalé's housing contribution is already visible through completed developments and occupied residential districts. RasMalé's housing contribution will become measurable as development and allocation progress over time.

Figure Sources


Understanding RasMalé's Housing Potential

Official project information refers to approximately 65,000 housing solutions. [hdc.mv]

The eventual impact will depend on numerous factors including:

  • Population growth
  • Demand patterns
  • Housing policies
  • Financing mechanisms
  • Construction timelines
  • Urban-planning decisions

To illustrate the potential scale, it is useful to examine a range of housing-capacity scenarios.


Illustrative Housing Scenarios

Housing Scenarios

Figure 3. Illustrative housing-capacity scenarios based on the announced 65,000-unit target

The chart demonstrates how varying occupancy and allocation assumptions could translate into different levels of housing capacity.

Figure Source

Note: These scenarios are analytical illustrations and should not be interpreted as official projections.


Economic Development Beyond Housing

Large-scale cities are more than housing projects.

They create space for:

  • Businesses
  • Employment
  • Education
  • Healthcare
  • Public infrastructure
  • Recreation
  • Investment

Hulhumalé's current land-use framework reflects this broader approach, incorporating residential, commercial, industrial, educational, community and recreational functions. [gis.hdc.mv], [hdc.mv]

Similarly, RasMalé is envisioned as a mixed-use urban environment rather than a purely residential expansion project. [hdc.mv]

The long-term success of either city ultimately depends on whether people can not only live there, but also study, work, do business and access essential services there.


Foreign Investment and Economic Activity

Major urban-development projects often attract external capital and private-sector participation.

From an economic perspective, these projects can contribute through:

  • Construction activity
  • Job creation
  • Business formation
  • Tourism and hospitality
  • Property development
  • New economic opportunities

At the same time, investment commitments, completed investments and long-term economic outcomes should be viewed as distinct measures.

The economic impact of RasMalé will depend on how development unfolds, how investment is deployed, and how the new urban ecosystem develops over time.


Illustrative Foreign-Currency Generation Potential

Forex Generation Potential

Figure 4. Conceptual comparison of foreign-currency generation potential.

The chart reflects the observation that RasMalé has been designed with a stronger investment and commercial component than Hulhumalé's original housing-focused development model. Actual outcomes will depend on future implementation and economic conditions.

Figure Sources


Development Structures and Long-Term Governance

One of the notable differences between the projects lies in their development structures.

Hulhumalé has primarily been planned and developed through state-led institutions, particularly HDC. [properties.hdc.mv]

RasMalé incorporates a broader development framework involving private-sector participation and long-term investment arrangements. Public statements by government officials have emphasized that land ownership remains with the Maldivian state while investment participation is structured through long-term development agreements. [en.mmtv.mv], [edition.mv]

Such arrangements are common in major infrastructure and urban-development projects around the world. Their effectiveness is generally assessed over time through tangible outcomes such as housing delivery, economic activity, public infrastructure and quality of life.


Comparative Development Considerations

Because the two projects are at very different stages of maturity, comparisons should be made carefully.

Many of Hulhumalé's outcomes are already measurable. Most of RasMalé's outcomes remain future objectives.

ConsiderationHulhumaléRasMalé
Development StatusEstablished urban centerUnder development
Land Area468 hectares~1,150 hectares
Housing DeliveryExisting and ongoingPlanned
Housing SolutionsExisting housing stock across multiple categoriesApproximately 65,000 housing solutions planned
Economic ActivityExisting residential, commercial and industrial activityPlanned mixed-use economic development
Public ServicesExisting schools, healthcare facilities, parks and community spacesPlanned integrated urban services
Development FrameworkState-ledMixed public-private framework
Long-Term ImpactMeasurableYet to be determined

Sources


What Can Be Learned from Hulhumalé?

Perhaps the most important lesson from Hulhumalé is that successful urban development takes time.

Creating land is only the first step.

A city also requires:

  • Housing
  • Roads and transportation
  • Utilities
  • Schools
  • Healthcare services
  • Community spaces
  • Economic activity
  • Long-term governance

Hulhumalé's evolution illustrates how these elements gradually combine to create a functioning city. [gis.hdc.mv], [hdc.mv]

This provides a useful benchmark for evaluating future urban-development projects.


Looking Ahead

RasMalé has the potential to become one of the most significant urban-development projects in the country's history.

Its scale is unprecedented, and its ambitions extend beyond housing to include broader economic growth, employment, infrastructure and urban expansion. [hdc.mv]

As development continues, the project's contribution will increasingly be measured through outcomes such as:

  • Housing delivery
  • Population growth
  • Economic activity
  • Public infrastructure
  • Livability
  • Long-term sustainability

These indicators will help determine the extent to which RasMalé contributes to the future development of the Greater Malé Region.


Conclusion

Hulhumalé' and RasMalé should not be viewed as competing projects. Rather, they represent different stages in the Maldives' broader strategy of using land reclamation and planned urban development to address national challenges.

Hulhumalé provides a proven example of how reclaimed land can evolve into a major urban center supporting housing, public services, business activity and community life. After nearly three decades of development, it remains one of the country's most significant urban-development achievements. [hdc.mv], [properties.hdc.mv]

RasMalé represents the next phase of that journey. Its planned scale is unprecedented, and its vision extends beyond housing to include economic development, public infrastructure, education, healthcare and recreational facilities. According to current project information, it aims to deliver approximately 65,000 housing solutions alongside a new urban ecosystem capable of supporting future growth. [hdc.mv]

At this stage, many of RasMalé's outcomes remain prospective. Its long-term impact will become clearer as reclamation, infrastructure development, housing delivery and economic activity progress over time.

Ultimately, the success of both projects will be measured not by the amount of land reclaimed, but by the extent to which they improve housing availability, create opportunities and enhance quality of life for future generations of Maldivians.

If Hulhumalé established the benchmark for modern urban expansion in the Maldives, RasMalé will help define the next chapter of that development story.


Sources

  1. Hulhumalé Overview – HDC [hdc.mv]
  2. Hulhumalé Development History – HDC [properties.hdc.mv]
  3. HDC GIS Land Use Plan [gis.hdc.mv]
  4. RasMalé Overview – HDC [hdc.mv]
  5. Maldives Monetary Authority Statistics Database [database.mma.gov.mv]
  6. Government Statements on RasMalé Development Arrangements – MMTV [en.mmtv.mv]
  7. Finance Ministry Statements on Development Framework – Edition [edition.mv]
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Friday, October 9, 2026

Fact Check: Is Temu Causing the Maldives' Dollar Crunch?

Fact Check: Is Temu Causing the Maldives' Dollar Crunch?

An examination of the factors contributing to the Maldives' foreign currency shortage.

VERDICT: MISLEADING

Temu has become a frequent target in discussions about the Maldives' foreign currency shortage. While online shopping contributes to US dollar outflows, available evidence does not support the claim that Temu is the primary cause of the shortage.

The Maldives' dollar shortage is rooted in a combination of structural factors, including external debt repayments, heavy dependence on imports, tourism-related foreign exchange leakages and ongoing pressure on foreign currency reserves.[1][4][5]

The Facts

In June 2025, Bank of Maldives introduced a 30% transaction fee on purchases from Temu, Shein, Alibaba, AliExpress, Lazada and eBay, citing high volumes of US dollar transactions on these platforms and the need to support essential foreign payments.[2]

According to reporting based on Bank of Maldives data, online shopping accounts for approximately 75% of foreign purchases made by BML customers. The same report states that Temu generates roughly US$7 million in monthly transactions and that the six targeted platforms account for about one-third of all e-commerce spending.[3]

These figures indicate that online shopping is a meaningful source of foreign currency outflows.

However, reports examining the broader economy consistently identify larger sources of dollar demand:
  • Government debt repayments denominated in US dollars.[1][4]
  • The country's reliance on imported food, fuel, medicines and consumer goods.[4][5]
  • Tourism earnings that do not fully enter the domestic banking system.[1]
  • Rising demand for foreign currency for healthcare, education and essential imports.[5]

Comparing the Drivers


Methodology: This chart is an editorial illustration based on recurring factors identified in reporting by Bank of Maldives, the Maldives Monetary Authority, Corporate Maldives and Maldives Independent. It does not represent official percentages or measured economic shares. The visualization is intended to compare the relative prominence of factors cited across available evidence.

Bottom Line

Temu is part of the story, but it is not the whole story.

The available evidence suggests that online shopping increases demand for scarce US dollars and has become significant enough to prompt regulatory action. However, the Maldives' foreign currency shortage appears to be primarily driven by broader structural pressures, including debt obligations, import dependence, foreign exchange leakages and reserve constraints.[1][4][5]

Attributing the shortage mainly to Temu oversimplifies a much more complex economic challenge.

Endnotes

  1. Corporate Maldives, Report: Key Reasons Behind Maldives' Dollar Shortage Amidst Tourism Boom. Available at: Corporate Maldives
  2. Bank of Maldives, Bank of Maldives Increases Monthly Foreign Transaction Limit to USD 500. Available at: Bank of Maldives
  3. Maldives Independent, Why the Maldives Hit Chinese Shopping Sites With a 30 Percent Fee. Available at: Maldives Independent
  4. Maldives Independent, Maldives Dollar Crisis Deepens Amid Rising Oil Prices and Debt Pressures. Available at: Maldives Independent
  5. The Standard Maldives, MMA to Increase Dollar Supply to Banks by 25% During Tourism Off-Season. Available at: The Standard Maldives
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